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  • expert headshot
    Prop Bet Guy
    +21
    (57%)
    4-3 in Last 7 MLB Player Props Picks
    player headshot
    S. Alcantara
    Over 5.5
    +109
    Pitcher Strikeouts
    WIN
    Picked: Apr 1 @ 8:24am

    Analysis

    DraftKings. Sandy Alcantara fell one strikeout short of cashing out for us on opening day, but I’m coming back to him against the White Sox. Sandy registered a 30% called plus swinging strike rate against the Rockies, which I’d gladly take again. The White Sox have the third highest CSW% on the young season, and are likely to trot out a weaker lineup for a getaway travel day game, ending their road trip.
  • expert headshot
    Matt Severance
    Severance Pays
    Under 4.5
    -140
    First 5 Innings Total Runs
    LOSS
    Picked: Apr 1 @ 11:26am

    Analysis

    It's a getaway game for both and a few regulars on each side are out. The White Sox's lineup in spots 5-9 look like an easy 10 outs the first two times through for Marlins ace Sandy Alcantara. He looked in his previous Cy Young form in the opener with seven shutout innings of Colorado. The game total is only 7.5 so this seems like it should be 4 and indeed most of our books have that. Surprisingly, the first two games of this series with punchless lineups saw double-digit runs scored. I think they will regress to the mean this afternoon.
  • expert headshot
    Matt Severance
    +14.5
    (56%)
    9-7 in Last 16 MLB Picks
    CIN +1.5
    -126
    Spread
    LOSS
    Picked: Apr 1 @ 12:53am

    Analysis

    Paul Skenes on Wednesday for the Bucs, so we get why they are favored as his career numbers against Cincinnati are insane. But the Reds' Andrew Abbott is pretty darn good himself ,and his career numbers vs. Pittsburgh are quite good too. Still prefer that Cincy lineup slightly and at home so one-run loss works just fine. Too good of a price at +1.5 to turn down.
  • expert headshot
    Eric Cohen
    EC
    player headshot
    T. Rogers
    Over 17.5
    -112
    Outs Recorded
    WIN
    Picked: Apr 1 @ 1:28am

    Analysis

    Trevor Rogers was a dynamo at Camden Yards last season, going 4-1 with a 0.96 ERA in seven starts. He went at least six innings in 6 of 7 home starts and went seven innings on Opening Day vs. Minnesota. With Baltimore looking to avoid the sweep against the Rangers, expect Rogers to go deeper into the game and give his team another quality start.
  • expert headshot
    Thomas Casale
    Casale on Campus
    player headshot
    G. Henderson
    Over 1.5
    +115
    Bases
    LOSS
    Picked: Apr 1 @ 11:35am

    Analysis

    I'm taking a shot with Gunnar Henderson over 1.5 total bases Wednesday at plus money. Henderson has had success against Nathan Eovaldi with seven hits in 10 career at-bats. He's recorded seven total bases in his last two games and with the wind blowing out at Camden Yards today, I like Henderson's chances to go over this total.

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